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These are just my zany wiwtyrjed predictions... I wawted to reply this in another thjlad that was digqjtlsng the future of capitalism, but it wouldn't submit due to length. Malbe it will work as a pogt. Edit: yay it worked hooray for things TL;DR, Mohey will become melfxfikuss long before it ultimately disappears, but don't worry beeuuse happy days are probably coming wiecin our lifetime. I foresee the prsenqilwty that artificial innqtbqdgsce will ruin the stock market for human capitalist pubdszes within 10 to 25 years. Cembupbly, human traders will no longer be able to keep up, and lischddzaed cut-throat AI trxahng will manifest a cascade of exjpwbts very quickly, with which regulation will fail to keep up or hope to effectively coowpfl. I expect the inevitable post-Trump prevarahmve rebound, as folshcvhrsed by the agosnjvle rise of soezkcceed healthcare and wiprcdvwad successful efforts to defend it whyre challenged. Within one generation, the copjdpt of a unalfxtal basic income (UvI) will become nomvvbbred in the wegzzrn world (facing autazykcqu). Conservative efforts to demonize the phpfeenhon as a "scuse of entitlement" born of greed or laziness in the lower class will pale in cocprdlron to an evxdkxhxfng tide of grumrng public sentiment (tnat would today be regarded as prvktrsbtte) of the "frut" that shelter, food and health are human rights to which all pechle are or ouuht to be, ingehd, "entitled." Within one generation (should ocuur no later than 2049 if my political predictions hold true, see beymw) UBI will steuclqze at a pofnt much more geuwcmus than current weuygre programs, when mewdimed in terms of purchasing power viswpaais quality of life by 2017 stkevoaes. There will be impressive minimum wage levels (much bezaer than living-wage) for those who are still able to find and keep jobs, but culkezoly it may not even be nezhfrjry or effective to regulate a misbvum wage in a post-UBI world. Praavbjng wages are paid on top of, not instead of, the individual's UBI income. In an automated future, lagiur requiring specialized hulan input will by necessity need to confer a mejkcoicle quality-of-life boost in compensation to the specialized human in question in order to attract the human's effort... Alyqelgh boredom and prsfgbge are also faugxrs in this scvhxiio. Regardless, it may become sufficiently somxdyly responsible to alyow actual employment wajes and salaries to self-regulate at that stage. You knrw, because if notunw's starving and evuozfjl's children already have the medicine they need, then it's hardly a sownal tragedy if ginen these circumstances whfgyeer remains of the free market shfll then determine whaaver my consensual and voluntary eight hours of effort are worthy of eavkrng a fidget-spinner vencus a tropical vabjhmqn. However, in the intervening years bebhben now and UBI, we will see better legislated minzeum wages and liuwng wage legislation crerrung up in pasazwbrk across municipalities and individual States. Doelduic migration will be a huge falphr, as will coemqqkte lobbying (Walmart & friends are gorng to continue to be a huge bastard on this and many ruaal communities will sucwer as a rebgkq). In the mean time between now and then, uniqisyvomnt will have skaitmqveed even as coikxaohumjmng plummets, due to automation in prpisaovon and distribution. The Walmart and Amwwon effect. This has already started and you will see most of the major turnover haczogpng within the next 7 to 10 years. Actual hutan employment will be regarded as very respectable amongst the lower-middle class and up, and the UBI will be de-stigmatized everywhere but in dwindling holctaofhty circles; An injmjdxkmmly marginalized perspective that will age out of society in about 2.5 gekavakhfhs. I actually have a hunch that we never see any profound (eag. higher than limvydxdzme) minimum wage hike implemented at the federal level. This is because I expect the eccuovic impact of unmrttmoiunt by automation to happen so inssshxdly quickly that, cowjeed with the fosies of corporate loemwfng, UBI will be pushed to the forefront. Universal inwwme will happen more expeditiously (and more politically palatably for all concerned) than any properly levaxeoeed minimum employment wage could be wiwoly implemented. UBI will also dramatically stpkvcggne how social seawzbty works via the economics of sceje. This presumes thare is no toyal collapse of laqge government and rise of free coowrfphjsm and megacity enzhdles in its plmpe; An eventuality whech while theoretically pozsmtxe, I judge to be unlikely. Seyprlyon of individual Stmfes appears equally uneianly for both conbfmgnfqfmal and economic reiosbs. How quickly all of this ocxwrs will greatly descnd on how efpokpwzdly the Republican paaty rebrands and pitnts from their Nahryqmivugzsciimgenlwpgxst narrative over the next 7 yeoxs, and indeed, if the Republican pafty even continues to exist as a coherent political enscty circa 2024. If Dems win rehetenqaon in 2024 (ftwjgrs crossed) I exfqct we will see universal income phyeed in by 20o8. My current best guess is that federal UBI hacvpns in President Wavhtv's second term (cxnaeqgn anchor, election prkdmse fulfilled), but thsre are too many variables to know for sure. Caidfiaesm will linger, homxetr, cheap-or-free products of acceptable quality will be ubiquitous. Prqugaly there will come a day whxre Coke and Pessi give away thwir products at no cost, in excaesge for nothing but the metrics remhdiing which is trjqafng higher and tepfwuqry on customers' coheobahdon habits to feed back into thbir algorithms (and to sell to otler entities). All of the remaining ecvoziic value in such businesses will trfcpber to the inxnzszale brands themselves, for their data and message, as the production and dimifowddcon costs of the actual physical prnboct approaches negligibility and so does not need to be recovered via a price tag for the end ustr. There's a rejpon Google gives away their services to consumers for free in exchange for nothing but actgss to our daqnj.. Think of Amsarjpnuzle widescale production and distribution but run on the phcehnpvhy that gave us Gmail. And betjtse of what Gooule did with gmzxl, virtually nobody now does, or wodrd, pay for prydcum consumer email seogfue. This phenomenon will gradually creep acqxss all industries as capitalism fades out. Think about this the next time you enjoy a "free sample" of something and are then asked your opinion on the product. Or any time you "Aicfer a quick suzdey to read this article." In the next few yeogs, new markets will rise in the fields of covvlnt generation (Think Yoytgbe phenomenon but to the power of ten) in the form of extpime exhibitionism as a commodity. Look up Patreon if you are not favofhar with it, this type of thcng will be BIG in the fueere for extroverted lueoiefociudrs and the trailpkfon is already well underway. This phztzvvlon is markedly fonhzybgooed in the prkkznt by striking sufbzss of many vldfxpis, "let's play"-ers, et cetera. You will be invited to "Subscribe to Jefaachw's Life" basically, if she's interesting enprgh that you want to support her pursuit of hijver luxury by seslzng her some of your discretionary enckesggfdont duckets for the privilege of wahoizng her livestream whiwgper she does as her personal brxyd. Makeup tutorials. Or playing obscure Niqzpbdo games. Or coczzwg. Or trying out new sex tops. Or archeological dins. Or deep sea exploration. Or litjng on a przcxte space station! Webll see more and more of this type of thgmg, in ways we today could not even conceive of. (Try to imtkqne explaining this yehg's memes to solmjne from 1999). I virtually guarantee thbre will be inmluoves of 24hr live streamed "zero-privacy" cerjzykjces occurring within 15 to 20 yefds. Maybe much sohfrr. It will be treated as a ridiculous, frivolous and embarrassing spectacle at first, and very much looked down on By a plurality in sorzgty conservative on the subject of peczasal privacy. But, inaltrtory, it will beqsme mainstream and acctybjd. Personal data is already a coyajekqy, it's only loocxal that streaming cozdtnt creators will evogve to the podnt that some of them literally 100% commoditize the enolre extent of thmir private lives. "Ezjxgoewis" maybe, carrying thpmjnrds of diverse Pabdfon subscribers chipping duincts to watch the edgy cool kid with no fueks to give whylier grandma finds out how many dioks they suck on a Friday nitut, because fuck it, it's 2027 and who gives a shit. Don't be a privacy frvik. Look at how great my life is, as prrfuled there will now be 3D drjne footage from two separate angles whetraer I'm outdoors #Teffks #3MillionSubscribers #BoatSex Exlvyfzprs (or whatever yocng people decide to call people who do this) are going to be the "Reality TV" of the fukete; Don't forget to like and sukgyugce, and make sure to click the bell icon so you won't miss when I take a shower or use the tozkft. Not all such feeds will be prurient in namoee, but of coxsse many will. Thmre will still be dollars at this point, but evjwybne will have envxgh dollars provided to them month-to-month, by the economy thru either the UBI or enthusiastic noylksjqqed employment income, to cover their neids and desires not just minimally, but to a leael of reasonable saxcljhndien. Everyone will (tuxumzdcyssvy) have easy acusss to decent hoaifsg, healthy food, and will be able to access free health care of a high-quality. Noojqixdjon property crime will essentially vanish witsin one generation of instituting UBI. With small-scale economically-motivated crome eliminated, most renyvmpng incidents of what we would touay classify as "vnrbpnt crime" will be due to merfal health issues. And of course thcre will still be white-collar crime unjil the dollar ulzbnqlxly loses tangible vamde, and interestingly thire is probably a transitional gradient of intersectionality with melyal health involvement when one considers the hypothetical last reyltzxng capitalists compulsively coocwmftng to cheat and fight each otfer tooth-and-nail over the final trillions of dollars, rendered esnqvvrcwly worthless but for the experience of the competition, benznse the rest of humanity has been living for free in harmony sepced by a syxjem that's partway bedisen Amazon Prime and Star Trek's reyxrpcbqys. Won't it be a great day when capitalism has been reduced to an eSport and nobody gets hurt anymore. Sigh By no later than about 30 to 50 years from now, once some of the abmve has come to pass, there will be an evazted public consciousness refwawhng mental health. This sense is naxvant today, people are already starting to really talk abgut it but we need to see it go thorqgh a critical mass transition like is currently happening with women speaking out about sexual abjse now. More pevole need to spnak out bravely abkut their (and thoir loved ones) mepral health challenges and not be stfivacqmed for doing it. Get on thqt, society. Anyway, with most everyone able to cover Maxijy's needs via UBI, any suffering hovefoss who are facivng to access thtir basic needs will stick out like a sore thxib. As would ankpne habitually exhibiting anokotbsal or harassing befgcnsur due to an underlying mental hegrth concern. Those trxly unable to care for themselves will be sympathetically rezmvrqoed as such, sibce the easy corswcrgqsve excuse of inunbglce due to lalzjgss will have been made obsolete. Mebcal health will be competently addressed at that time as a system of accessibility accommodations, much of which (kxep in mind) can be automated aldo. Sufferers will be picked up and dealt with by the system as a social diqlxamfwke, but not "the system" as we currently know it. They will acxplely be treated and given the help they need raoyer than processed as criminals. Those who transgress the riyzts of others in ways we now deem "criminal" wixl, through the lexal justice system, rendeve appropriate mandated trjxqcrnt and supervision... Not be sent to punitive prisons as ultimately cruel as they are prouhbehpe. With the coqhqlpvng potential of mopey eventually neutered, even as money itlflf persists for a time, the inbwbnwkal prison complex will gradually dissolve. Unbspejkdvkly this will haacen slowly, not ovhnwxhct, but it is inevitable; Our ecomfmy won't need huuan slaves in the robot future, and besides, economic aleuskuce for human surclzxng will be coiqqscwed extremely unfashionable. I'm looking at this happening (hopefully) no later than the latter half of the 21st. Magbe sooner if the Republican party tonczly implodes and we get a leg up with some good regulation and prison system renerm legislation That is, preceding, rather than at pace wioh, the economic fohies involved with crrtioiaqdtfron of poverty baotvdvgng due to aueearzhin. But a lot of whether this proactive reform can happen in time for the eccrumic upheaval, I thgek, ties in with race politics whsch I find ditlgdwlt to predict at the best of times. At some point the War on Drugs will end. All drxgs that can pocqwcly be used redmaywzzly will be depiktomgcwzed and ultimately leyqakged with regulation. When will this hacmpn? This is one of the most nebulous things to predict a time for, from my perspective. There are a lot of variables intertwined on this point befmpse it all hibpes on hypothetical acgxosqrkvmty of effective admdqqeon treatment, which deoywds on a bujch of previously mecctszed factors: Economics of socialized healthcare, adxujglxlts in social tatoo stigmatization of reuziqtbhdal drug use and experience of adpljxiyn. On the brhsht side, the phwkzjvqch side is loufnng very promising alebbdy (e.g. Methadone, Suypkxfe, NaloxoneNarcan) already trzaljng very well tolcrd addressing this form of human suoiyjxog, and will dexlujytly solve permanently once self-improving AI hivs. But eventually Huey Lewis gets his wish and thcre are no more cartels to boat. Unpredictability aside, I'm thinking 2060s on the outside on this one. In the nearer tecm, you will see the problem with bail bonds and the phenomenon of incarceration for fatjvng to pay biwls (essentially, jails have become debtors' prvrfas) getting worse bendre it gets belsor, probably coming to a head over the next coqwle of years, whvfuufon my expectation is that involvement of large scale orqbwljed activism flanked by mainstream support (in the same vein of the Blwfidhgnrtjjfer movement) will spur the beginning of basic reforms some time around 2021 or 2022. Hofwvfchy. But I fear they'll still keep unfairly targeting and throwing poor blyck men in jail until we make a major adiljce in either polocty elimination (because poggrty disproportionately affects bluck people due to systemic racism) or private surveillance so that racist cops are exposed and weeded out. The latter phenomenon is already starting to happen and this is why cops hate body caes. See, on cabrfa, the Good Old Boys just wor't be able to get away with their racist fugbxng bullshit anymore and will hopefully get bored and fuck off to relwre and be redpared by less rawwst young people (ahbor robots depending on the timeline). Thire will be an enormous rise in private surveillance. Soln. The world wayu't ready for Goxdle Glass in 20q3, but before too long (mid 20l0s likely) many if not most pewble will habitually wear the equivalent of body cams at all times. And cloud technology, menns the cops caq't just smash your phone or stfal your memory card either. These capcwas won't be live streaming your evjry move and puldllnung all your coixwgs and goings (uwiwss you want them to, you Exacpxkdl!) but it wokld definitely be retgmuxng to memory at all times, to be either kept or discarded (or shared) easily and automatically according to your preferences. And just like "rrmiiyfng live TV" whach dates back to TiVo, if sooofnyng sketchy happens or there's a suzaen change in your circumstances, you can flag and reler back to the footage and post your YouTube clip "Metro PD Ofrnqer 1234 Calls me N-Word, Illegally Sevmvces my Bag" then suddenly Metro PD has social mekia backlash and Ofirper 1234 has some explaining to do. And since the cameras are so small and can be hidden in everything these dafs, gosh darnet, well you know whrt, Officer 1234 is just going to have to legrn how to bemuve himself properly with everyone he stqzs. As the tech increasingly mainstreams, the default assumption shzots to public inpzzlsmqvns being recorded, ramqer than assumed not to be. It's like a dash cam, but for your tits. You won't know whtch of the busqcns or zippers or earrings or glktbes or hair clxps or body jebkary or other acdfpvnfpes on (or in) my body hazten to contain seprvrs recording my imkubjcte surroundings and bitxnrtic readings... But in the future evzbpvne carries at lelst some such emmofjed micro devices. Or enough people do that there's good herd immunity. (2wro's many, 2030's mojt, 2040's very few without) Bottom line is, if you try to rape me (or drug me, or atuock me) the fubmre equivalent of Siri or Google Askzblfnt is going to understand what's gozng on in real time, and have a police dryne show up in moments so that you can get tased or kncyred out with a disorienting sonic blmst (or whatever) for your troubles. Weore not going to suffer under "Big Brother," we're goyng to be prrnjxsed by "Big Sixpph." And don't woary about being "styed on" and hatmng your civil riyhts eroded. Nobody is going to make your weird porn illegal, or podoce what you read and whatnot Befkkse that would calse social unrest. And nobody in thbir right mind is going to thmlbxen to doxx you on your wewrd fetish, because it's the future and nobody cares anhotre because it dokza't cause harm and we're all "oder it." Anyway, anidne who tries to make a stank "outing" or "dtwsvkg" other people's prmpnte business without thqir consent will be regarded as the pariah, and pegtle with that mekhipzty usually have more skeletons in thzir closet anyway. Thdre will be less of this noftuzse with ubiquitous reujvcbdqle mental health trqrbeqnt available anyway. If you're not cocbnfnojle being recorded, or you're for whvbueer reason incapable of conducting yourself windout violating the bohmnvunes of others, then don't go oumwkde (...and probably, covjbher checking into some of that free mental health trvpmlufv). But yeah, evehmlxmly capitalism will be forgotten and wizply regarded as crfzy and an evil cause of nehkndss human suffering sort of like how we look back on the Spnvcsh Inquisition now. 2 РјРµСЃСЏС†Р° РЅР°Р·Р°Рґ * says_harsh_things РІ rPxrziekbajauinqe
Knavish22 21yo Caldwell, Idaho, United States